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    • Climate Outlook Update for January to March (JFM) 2017

      Date Signed: 2017-01-06

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters

      Themes: Themes, Meteorology & Climate, Climate Information


      For the period January to March 2017, there will be below-normal rainfall conditions over eastern DRC, Tanzania, extreme northern Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique and Madagascar. Meanwhile, there will be greater likelihood of normal to above normal rainfall over southern parts of Zimbabwe and Mozambique, northern South Africa, eastern Botswana and Swaziland and Lesotho. Largely consistent previous projections from SARCOF-20.

    Latest

    • Climate Outlook Update Outlook for December 2016 to February 2017

      Date Signed: 2016-11-29

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters

      Themes: Themes, Meteorology & Climate, Climate Information


      For the period December 2016 to February 2017, there is an extension of below-normal rainfall conditions over Tanzania up to the extreme northern parts of Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique and the entire Madagascar. Other parts of the region are going to be the same as the previous projections from SARCOF-20, with the high likelihood of normal to above-normal rainfall conditions in the bulk of the SADC Region.

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    • Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF) 20 Statement

      Date Signed: 2016-08-26

      Type: Documents & Publications, Speeches & Communiques


      Statement from the twentient annual Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-20), Harare International Conference Centre, Harare, Zimbabwe, 24 – 26 August 2016. SUMMARY: The bulk of Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for most of the period October to December (OND) 2016 and the January to March (JFM) 2017. However, northernmost Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) northern Angola, most Tanzania, northern Mozambique, the islands states of Seychelles and eastern-most Madagascar are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall most of the season.

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    • Climate Outlook Update for February to April (FMA) 2016

      Date Signed: 2016-02-10

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters


      The Southern African region is facing the common El Nino impact of the extended periods of below normal rains in most of contiguous SADC region and warmer than average normal temperature during the period. This has also at times led to health threatening heat waves, according to media reports; and decimation of crops. Significant wetter-than-normal conditions occurred over the Island States and north-eastern and south-western parts of continental SADC. The current El Niño will continue to have significant regional climatic impacts. Thus abnormal patterns of temperature and precipitation patterns should persist across the southern African region during the upcoming months.

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    • SARCOF 19 Statement - 31 August 2015

      Date Signed: 2015-08-31


      The bulk of the southern tier states of continental Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall for the period October to December (OND) 2015 and the January to March (JFM) 2016. However, most Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) northern Angola, Tanzania, north-eastern Zambia, northern Malawi, northern Mozambique, the Islands States of Mauritius, Seychelles and eastern-most Madagascar are more likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Northernmost of Tanzania and Madagascar are more likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall.

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    • SARCOF 18 Final Statement 29 August 2014

      Date Signed: 2014-08-29

      Type: Documents & Publications, Media Releases & Statements


      Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for the period October to December (OND) 2014. However, northernmost Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) northern Madagascar and Mauritius are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. In November-December 2014-January 2015 (NDJ) period, bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, while the greater part of DRC and northernmost Angola are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. The bulk of contiguous SADC and the Islands States are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall during December 2014 to February 2015. For the period January to March (JFM) 2015, the bulk of SADC is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. However, the greater part of DRC, northernmost Angola and Mauritius are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.

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    • Climate Outlook for March to May 2014

      Date Signed: 2014-02-24

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters


      Significant rainfall was received in most parts of SADC as a result of an active Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the attendant active tropical cyclone incursions into the region. For the period March to May 2014, there is a high likelihood of: (i) normal to above-normal rainfall conditions across the bulk of SADC including the Island States; and (ii) normal to below-normal rainfall conditions in the north-westernmost of conterminous SADC.

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    • Climate Outlook for February to April 2014

      Date Signed: 2014-01-24

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters


      The period February-March-April 2014, the bulk of continental SADC experiences general decrease in the summer seasonal rainfall. The projections are for most of contiguous SADC and the Island States have greater likelihood of normal to above-normal rainfall. The northern and western flanks are expected to experience normal to below-normal rainfall. This is still largely consistent with the original SARCOF-17 projections as issued in August 2013.

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    • SARCOF 17 OUTLOOK UPDATE2 - DJF 2013-14

      Date Signed: 2013-12-02

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters


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    • SARCOF-17 OUTLOOK UPDATE - NDJ 2013-14

      Date Signed: 2013-11-04

      Type: Documents & Publications, Newsletters


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